Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.014080 0.017369 0.021595 0.027576 0.036088 0.048218 0.067748
2025-02-02 0.010700 0.014552 0.020278 0.029978 0.047378 0.080840 0.162981
2025-02-09 0.008599 0.012374 0.018499 0.030156 0.054830 0.115437 0.343159
2025-02-16 0.007288 0.010930 0.017237 0.030399 0.062471 0.161994 0.786003
2025-02-23 0.006332 0.009801 0.016125 0.030352 0.069536 0.222168 2.076948
2025-03-02 0.005463 0.008634 0.014618 0.028796 0.071484 0.271096 5.368102
2025-03-09 0.004863 0.007838 0.013639 0.028100 0.075782 0.349383 26.490641
2025-03-16 0.004484 0.007383 0.013244 0.028717 0.085570 0.514137 204678.947357
2025-03-23 0.004132 0.006923 0.012736 0.028845 0.093995 0.741345 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003738 0.006327 0.011813 0.027463 0.094630 0.902648 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003446 0.005899 0.011199 0.026825 0.098738 1.208763 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003267 0.005678 0.011025 0.027527 0.111513 2.083511 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003146 0.005595 0.011250 0.030009 0.143124 7.103482 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003030 0.005511 0.011474 0.032775 0.188079 71.118085 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002832 0.005217 0.011084 0.032979 0.213209 4219.860860 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002661 0.004961 0.010743 0.033254 0.243039 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002501 0.004708 0.010364 0.033201 0.271634 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002312 0.004370 0.009680 0.031443 0.269647 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002168 0.004124 0.009231 0.030658 0.284259 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002076 0.003990 0.009088 0.031354 0.334841 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.001979 0.003836 0.008855 0.031499 0.379400 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001854 0.003602 0.008347 0.029941 0.373271 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001758 0.003430 0.008008 0.029223 0.391377 NaN NaN